Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.056630 1.201505 1.359348 1.544149 1.754678 1.987162 2.263533
2025-12-14 0.800349 0.989195 1.212870 1.497619 1.850965 2.275686 2.826009
2025-12-21 0.666884 0.873190 1.132103 1.481478 1.941655 2.528567 3.336454
2025-12-28 0.597059 0.819581 1.112413 1.526931 2.100387 2.868442 3.979924
2026-01-04 0.521202 0.745065 1.051914 1.504552 2.157835 3.070576 4.449954
2026-01-11 0.478537 0.709470 1.037829 1.540530 2.294340 3.388546 5.108389
2026-01-18 0.434936 0.666505 1.006905 1.545944 2.382874 3.640794 5.690168
2026-01-25 0.391709 0.618779 0.962931 1.525133 2.426495 3.825524 6.181675
2026-02-01 0.351443 0.571062 0.913519 1.489391 2.440701 3.962226 6.605378
2026-02-08 0.316744 0.528500 0.867632 1.453665 2.449422 4.087722 7.018297
2026-02-15 0.296045 0.506673 0.852753 1.466652 2.538401 4.350401 7.684485
2026-02-22 0.273861 0.480101 0.827278 1.458583 2.589385 4.551259 8.259250
2026-03-01 0.246643 0.444645 0.787498 1.429227 2.613690 4.731662 8.862366
2026-03-08 0.219749 0.407449 0.741817 1.386154 2.611923 4.871570 9.420698
2026-03-15 0.200393 0.381698 0.713575 1.371240 2.659235 5.104223 10.179341
2026-03-22 0.190745 0.372990 0.715566 1.413241 2.818997 5.565295 11.439544
2026-03-29 0.174453 0.349626 0.687206 1.392562 2.852254 5.781982 12.228214
2026-04-05 0.165981 0.340792 0.686019 1.425807 2.997597 6.237535 13.568267
2026-04-12 0.155301 0.326301 0.671976 1.430810 3.084151 6.580214 14.705019
2026-04-19 0.143294 0.307776 0.647777 1.411581 3.116343 6.810343 15.618551
2026-04-26 0.131222 0.287869 0.618690 1.378552 3.114324 6.965149 16.377714
2026-05-03 0.120338 0.269454 0.590973 1.345539 3.108466 7.110038 17.129714
2026-05-10 0.114088 0.260726 0.583519 1.357540 3.207080 7.502438 18.520567